We are going to make the play-offs.

Discussion in 'Tennessee Titans and NFL Talk' started by Chris_Henry29, Dec 10, 2007.

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  1. Carpy

    Carpy Disgruntled foreign veteran

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    I just did the math on this and while it is mathematically possible for Pittsburgh to jump ahead of us, I would suggest it is extremely unlikely.

    Teams we should be cheering for:
    Saints, Panthers, Falcons, Chiefs, Texans, Raiders

    Teams we should be cheering against:
    Miami, San Fran, Seattle, Buffalo

    (Note: If the Texans win either of their last 2 games we can't be eliminated on Strength of Victory tie-breaker)
  2. Riverman

    Riverman That may be....

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    Actually, the only way we jump Pittsburgh is for them to lose to both St. Louis and Baltimore and we win out. (thus 9-7 overall for them and 10-6 for us). Pittsburgh is presently undefeated wtihin their division which is the tie-breaker after overall record. They would at worst be 5-1 within their division with a loss to Baltimore (we would be 4-2 if we win out).

    http://www.nfl.com/standings
    http://www.nfl.com/standings/tiebreakingprocedures

    So to make the play-offs:

    1. We have to win out AND

    2a. Bengals beat Browns or
    2b. Steelers lose out or
    2c. The Jaguars lose out.

    Our best bet is 1 and 2a- calculated at a 1 in 5 chance presently.
  3. mcmojo

    mcmojo Starter

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    Riverman, actually the records within the division do not apply to the Titans/Steelers scenario. The tie-breaking procedures would go straight to head-to-head if the teams are not in the same division.

    From NFL.com

    If it is necessary to break ties to determine the two Wild-Card clubs from each conference, the following steps will be taken.

    1. If the tied clubs are from the same division, apply division tie breaker.

    2. If the tied clubs are from different divisions, apply the following steps.

    Two Clubs

    1. Head-to-head, if applicable.

    2. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference.

    3. Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games, minimum of four.

    4. Strength of victory.

    5. Strength of schedule.

    6. Best combined ranking among conference teams in points scored and points allowed.

    7. Best combined ranking among all teams in points scored and points allowed.

    8. Best net points in conference games.

    9. Best net points in all games.

    10. Best net touchdowns in all games.

    11. Coin toss.
  4. Carpy

    Carpy Disgruntled foreign veteran

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    Actually that's not right Riverman.

    The division record is only a tiebreaker to determine who wins the division. If you scroll down in the second link you provided, it shows the tiebreaking prcoedure for Wild Card teams and the division record does not come into play.

    Provided Cleveland win the division (and they'll need to finish a game ahead of Pitt to do that), then Pittsburgh and us would be tied for the wild card spot and the first tiebreaker is conference record.
  5. Riverman

    Riverman That may be....

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    My bad. Well- that's even better then. Hope it works out for us.
  6. KTOWN TITAN

    KTOWN TITAN Orca Fighter

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    So if the Steelers and Browns win sunday we are done. I guess that is correct?
  7. Carpy

    Carpy Disgruntled foreign veteran

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    That's not true. Provided we win this week we will still be alive next week.

    The game between Pittsburgh and St Louis (this Thursday night) is pretty meaningless actually. Pittsburgh need to lose another AFC game for us to draw level with them and the only AFC game they have left is Baltimore in week 17.

    I'll try and summarise better:

    Presuming we win out, we WILL get in if one of the following happens:

    1. Cincinatti beat Cleveland (week 16)

    2. Baltimore beat Pittsburgh (and we win the strength of victory tiebreaker - which we should do) (week 17) and Cleveland win out

    3. Jacksonville lose to Oakland and Houston
  8. TitanJeff

    TitanJeff Kahuna Grande Staff Member

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  9. Riverman

    Riverman That may be....

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  10. TorontoTitanFan

    TorontoTitanFan Pro Bowler

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    It doesn't seem so hopeless anymore. I really do think the Bengals can beat the Browns. That loss to the Browns was really a catalyst in sending the Bengals' season in a downward spiral. Hopefully they will want some revenge.
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