Your talking about feelings and hunches? Don't bring a water pistol to a gun fight. He went 3-1 as a starter last year with an ERA under 2.5. No he's not totally proven as a starter but he's our 5th starter, I'll take that kind of potential in the 5th slot. He has a career ERA of 3.8 that's not the numbers a "contract player" puts up. He couldn't hit a curve ball to save his life and he doesn't hit for a high average. He's just like every player on the Reds all home runs and no average kinda like Dunn, Phillips and Encarnaccion. He went 8-2 last year (after a 6-0 start) before he got hurt. Keep trying but do some research first.