Paul K trade scenario

Outside of QB's Bortles & Bridgewater, LB Mack, and DT Donald there's no one I MUST have. I'd be perfectly fine making that trade happen. We're in need of several things this draft and have 2 picks in the top 100, no bueno.

 

Seems like a nice value trade. Still, if a QB or defensive playmaker we really like is there I'd rather sit tight at 11.

 

I guess it depends on what they feel the hit percentage will be on those later picks. If that player at #11 is a game changer, then it's probably not a good trade. You generally have to write off half of those 2nd-4th round picks as busts. There is a risk at picking #11. But I would assume that pick has a better chance of success than a load of later picks.

I doubt the 9ers would do it anyway.

 

This mother****er reads this site. I posted that SAME EXACT THING a week ago.

 

I haven't heard much discussion about this because so many people, and understandably so, tend to think in the now but what about trading for the future i.e. next year.

I get the sense that there are about 5 guys who are elite sure fired picks and the there is a gap. But that gap after the first isn't really big at all, picks 10 -32 and 33-45 say. Trading back and gathering an extra 2nd and 3rd is nice, but what about a 1st round next year?

I'm not clear on the trade value that we would need for that to happen but it could prove to be worthwhile if only to stock up on ammunition if we really like a QB next year.

 

I prefer quality over quantity. I know we only have 6 picks but going all the way down to 30 is a huge drop. There could still be a game changing, blue chip player there at #11. Once you get to 30 you're chances of finding that guy aren't as high.

 

I remember Webster saying at some point that a future pick is devalued an entire round because you have to wait a year. I think it was when we traded up for Scott Solomon. We traded a 6th in the next year's draft to move into the seventh in the current draft to get him. We then cut him a year later. Good job, Webster.

So I'm guessing a 1st round pick in next year's draft for #11 this year would be have to be accompanied by something else.

 

So trade back 11 for a 1st next year and a high 2nd round this year, maybe even a 4th as well. It's tempting I think.

 

Of course he reads our stuff, its free info to him, I thought we established this years ago.