How PFT’s power rankings stack up with Vegas Super Bowl odds

Discussion in 'Tennessee Titans and NFL Talk' started by Pro Football Talk, Jul 25, 2014.

  1. Pro Football Talk

    Pro Football Talk Titans News


    You may have seen that Dolphins coach Joe Philbin doesn’t agree with PFT placing his club next-to-last in our preseason power rankings.

    “I don’t think he knows the guys in our locker room or the guys that come to work in this building every single day from top to bottom,” Philbin said of PFT putting the Dolphins 31st, according to the Miami Herald‘s Armando Salguero.

    That Philbin took up for his team is to be respected. And ultimately, the Dolphins will get their shot to prove the ranking wrong. And isn’t that a beautiful thing about sport? Sometimes, the doubters get theirs, and even the doubters themselves have to tip their caps.

    But back to the Dolphins’ ranking. The whole deal got us thinking: how does Miami’s rating compare to its odds to win Super Bowl 49?

    First, here’s a primer on how the odds are determined.

    The opening odds are set by various Nevada sports books in the winter. From there, the betting public — any person with the cash on hand to make a minimum future-book bet of five bucks or so — goes to work. The odds move as the public places their bets.

    At the Caesars Entertainment sportsbooks, the Dolphins were listed at 50-1 to win the Super Bowl as of the beginning of this week. From an odds standpoint, this places them in a tie for 25th among the 32 NFL clubs.

    The Dolphins’ 50-1 price is the same one offered when the odds were first posted.

    However, that’s not the story for every other club.

    The following 18 clubs have lower Super Bowl odds than when betting began: the 49ers, Packers, Saints, Eagles, Colts, Bengals, Bears, Steelers, Ravens, Giants, Lions, Rams, Cowboys, Texans, Vikings, Jets, Browns and Raiders. In short, something happened to convince Caesars to cut the price, to make it a little less sweet of a deal for bettors.

    By contrast, the Broncos, Cardinals, Chiefs, Falcons, Panthers, Buccaneers, Titans and Jaguars all have higher odds than when betting started.

    The Jaguars, at 200-1, are the longest shot on the board at Caesars — and it’s not close. To wit: every other club has odds of 75-1 or lower.

    Below are the Super Bowl odds at the Caesars Entertainment sportsbooks as of July 21 with PFT’s rating of each club in parentheses. The teams are ordered by their odds to win Super Bowl 49 at Caesars:

    T-1) Seattle Seahawks: 5-1. (PFT rank: 1.) Opening odds: 5-1.

    T-1) Denver Broncos: 5-1. (PFT rank: 3.) Opening odds: 4-1.

    3) San Francisco 49ers: 5.5-1. (PFT rank: 2.) Opening odds: 6-1.

    4) Green Bay Packers: 7-1. (PFT rank: 5.) Opening odds: 15-1.

    5) New England Patriots: 8-1. (PFT rank: 4.) Opening odds: 8-1.

    6) New Orleans Saints: 14-1. (PFT rank: 6.) Opening odds: 15-1.

    7) Philadelphia Eagles: 15-1. (PFT rank: 13.) Opening odds: 30-1.

    T-8) Indianapolis Colts: 18-1. (PFT rank: 8.) Opening odds: 30-1.

    T-8) Cincinnati Bengals: 18-1. (PFT rank: 9.) Opening odds: 20-1.

    T-8) Chicago Bears: 18-1. (PFT rank: 12.) Opening odds: 30-1.

    11) Pittsburgh Steelers: 20-1. (PFT rank: 15.) Opening odds: 40-1.

    T-12) Baltimore Ravens: 25-1. (PFT rank: 7.) Opening odds: 40-1.

    T-12) New York Giants: 25-1. (PFT rank: 18.) Opening odds: 40-1.

    T-12) Detroit Lions: 25-1. (PFT rank: 21.) Opening odds: 40-1.

    15) St. Louis Rams: 28-1. (PFT rank: 20.) Opening odds: 40-1.

    T-16) Dallas Cowboys: 30-1. (PFT rank: 24.) Opening odds: 35-1.

    T-16) Houston Texans: 30-1. (PFT rank: 25.) Opening odds: 40-1.

    T-18) Arizona Cardinals: 35-1. (PFT rank: 11.) Opening odds: 30-1.

    T-18) Kansas City Chiefs: 35-1. (PFT rank: 17.) Opening odds: 30-1.

    T-20) Carolina Panthers: 40-1. (PFT rank: 10.) Opening odds: 25-1.

    T-20) Atlanta Falcons: 40-1. (PFT rank: 14.) Opening odds: 20-1.

    T-20) San Diego Chargers: 40-1. (PFT rank: 16.) Opening odds: 40-1.

    T-20) Washington Redskins: 40-1. (PFT rank: 23.) Opening odds: 40-1.

    T-20) Minnesota Vikings: 40-1. (PFT rank: 27.) Opening odds: 75-1.

    T-25) New York Jets: 50-1. (PFT rank: 19.) Opening odds: 75-1.

    T-25) Cleveland Browns: 50-1. (PFT rank: 22.) Opening odds: 75-1.

    T-25) Miami Dolphins: 50-1. (PFT rank: 31.) Opening odds: 50-1.

    T-25) Oakland Raiders: 50-1. (PFT rank: 32.) Opening odds: 150-1.

    29) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 60-1. (PFT rank: 26.) Opening odds: 50-1.

    T-30) Buffalo Bills: 75-1. (PFT rank: 28.) Opening odds: 75-1.

    T-30) Tennessee Titans: 75-1. (PFT rank: 30.) Opening odds: 50-1.

    32) Jacksonville Jaguars: 200-1. (PFT rank: 29.) Opening odds: 150-1.

  2. SawdustMan

    SawdustMan The Reigning, Defending, Undisputed Beav Champion

    Well f*** Vegas too.

    • High Five High Five x 5
  3. GoT

    GoT Strength and Honor Tip Jar Donor

    I know I place a $5 bet on the Titans to win the SB whenever I am in Vegas

    sadly it would not be enough to justify a trip but from a financial standpoint, but I would go anyways just to wear all my Titans crap when I strode up and claimed those $s
  4. xpmar9x

    xpmar9x The Real Slim Shady

    Everybody hates us.

    Can't blame them.. we have no identity, yet. Hopefully a healthy Locker, breakout Wright/Hunter, early producing Sankey, Whiz/Horton, & breakout Casey/Ayers have something to say about that.

    Is that too much to ask for?
    • High Five High Five x 1
  5. The Hammer

    The Hammer Problematic AF


    **** dude, we thought you were dead
    • High Five High Five x 2
  6. xpmar9x

    xpmar9x The Real Slim Shady

    haha I'm back... was super busy. Got a new job, old job I basically was on GoTitans all day. New job is Mon-Sat 7-7 & I'm normally busy during that time. Plus it was the dreaded offseason.
    • High Five High Five x 1
  7. RavensShallBurn

    RavensShallBurn Ruck the Favens

    Unless I was doing something I love and enjoy, 7-7 6 days (that's 72 hours) a week would probably make me suicidal after a few months.

    Don't kill yourself.
    • High Five High Five x 5
  8. xpmar9x

    xpmar9x The Real Slim Shady

    I don't love it, but it's cool. It's an outdoor job and lots of traveling, so after having office jobs my whole life... it's great.

    and I make like triple I did 6 months ago

    so I won't be headbutting a nail anytime soon
    • High Five High Five x 1
  9. TitansWillWin2

    TitansWillWin2 Starter

    And yet you guys wonder why I am so pessimistic about this team this year.
  10. RTH

    RTH Meh...

    You're also a VY guy, so...
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