HD-DVD vs Blu-Ray

To really win, enough people have to be willing to spend that kind of money on Blu-Ray players and discs when DVDs already look good on HDTVs and they are cheap.

 

No, the whole world. 360s only strong point is North America. It is being outsold everywhere else.

And Blu Ray has won in terms of the next format war. No one is going to stick with HD-DVD. Even rumours that Microsoft will fit the 360 with a Blu Ray add on and can the HD-DVD add on (yet more money they waste)

 

Won't make a difference when DVDs are no longer manufactured.

 

That won't happen for many years. Do you know how long it took for VHS tapes to become 2nd fiddle, much less for them to basically stop releasing them?

And now in a recession in America people are going to buy all new movie players that are completely incompatible?

Most people will stick with standard DVD for a long time. They already have their movie collections and BR players don't play standard DVDs (though someone could create a hybrid player).

 

Costs of making a blu ray movie will push it up.

 

No it won't. The cost of making DVDs didn't.

 

I thought I also read something about Blu Ray not playing dvd's, or maybe it was just certain dvd's.

 

Blu Ray might kill HD DVD, but that doesn't really matter. Their competition is DVD, and they'll never be good enough to take over the market.
It's just not enough difference for people to scrap their dvd players for blu ray. Unless you're really, really, really, some type of detail nut, Blu Ray just doesn't offer enough for it's price while DVD is out there.
Only people that will buy blu ray discs are PS3 owners, but after the first or 2nd, they'll probably go right back to DVDs.