Coronavirus

Her words insinuate more than an estimation on her part.

She based it off of a study that says when 2 people are infected due to community spread then you can assume 1% of the population has it. How or why she thinks you can just say the population would be the entire state of Ohio is unknown.

She’s a prime example of the problem with a large part of these “predicted models.” They are dealing with incomplete data or, even worse, they simply don’t understand the data and spew off numbers without considering or understanding the variables.

 

So, she's not entirely wrong.

But, regardless... the official number is what I stated off the Ohio official information.

She was going by viral studies and, honestly, can't really blame her for stating it so high.

Especially since she could be right. The spread is way out of control and we can't keep up with the tests to determine who officially has it versus who's carrying it, spreading it.

Honestly can't fault her for stating that, frankly.

Higher than what I'd guess... but I'm not following viral studies, notlr speak to anyone that is.

 

She claimed there was over 20,000 undetected cases for every one detected case in Ohio at the time she made that statement. We’re 3 weeks removed from then, safe to say she was entirely wrong.

The problem is she arbitrarily chose the entire state of Ohio as the population. She could have just as easily stated 1% of the world’s population is infected using her logic. It is flat out dangerous to cite studies you don’t understand.

 

Florida megachurch pastor arrested for holding crowded services Sunday

 

Yeah I read it. Point still stands she makes a statement saying they have at least 1% of their population infected.

I guess I do know more than her. You can’t take micro information and then have a macro application by arbitrarily selecting your parameters. She not a statistics expert, she’s a health expert.

 

Over 1900 cases now... 39 deaths.

 

F*CK CHINA

 

Mardi Gras and Spring Break Beach Parties... we’re f**ked. We treated it like a joke and now we’re paying the price.

 

Next two weeks is when those numbers are going to skyrocket

 

Mortality rate hanging around a little less than 2% still in the US. Lower in many states.

Actual % is certainly lower considering we have no idea how many Americans are infected but have no symptoms or only mild ones.

Alabama is at only 1.1% and we aren’t really even testing unless people are severely ill.

Unless you’re old or severely ill you’re not getting tested.