Analytics

pass under LBs to get back to second and 10ish seems to usually work against Titans

 

Seems like it happens 9/10 drives or anytime there’s a decent run offense goes backwards

 

Per the Norm when playing against the K.C. Refs

 

It's called Prevent Offence, and Downing is revolutionising football with it.

Rely on your Punter and Defence to flip the field, so that your kicker can come out and add 3 pts, while your offence takes 2 minutes off the clock, but importantly gives up zero turnovers while going 3 and out.

 

Some models may actually favor running on 1st & 20 in that situation. Given the state of the titans offense (Willis+no separation at receiver), the likelihood of converting a first down at 1st & 20 is very low regardless of run or pass. Then when you factor in the higher likelihood of a turnover from passing, the win probability is actually probably higher to run in that situation.

Also our YPP were probably higher rushing the ball than it was passing at that point so almost certainly the analytics would say to run the ball.

 

I wasn't sure where to put this link.

https://titanswire.usatoday.com/202...-wide-receiver-struggles-offense-predictable/

 

This was as good a place as any, and was a good read.
Thanks for posting the link

 

While not the popular play... I'd guess that teams with a good RB probably run it on 1st and 20 a good bit of the time. And as for the Titans, Henry is the whole offense so it's highly likely. Try to bust a 10+ yard run and go from there.

 

Especially with our oline + Willis + practice squad receivers