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Discussion in 'NFL Draft' started by TitanJeff, Apr 13, 2012.
Where did you get that from? That doesn't sound right at all.
67% of statistics are made up.
Heard it on NFL Network, Path to the Draft yesterday or the day before. I think Michael Lombardi said it. I'm sure it's not entirely accurate but you get the picture... 2nd round picks bust more often that 1st rounders.
Well, I would have challenged that one immediately as being pure BS. Whichever analyst said it would have just lost all credibility with me. I damn sure would not have repeated it as fact.
I just ran a quick check. 20 of the 32 (63%) second-round picks in 2011 had already become starters in just their first season. One non-starter was a QB and another was a KR/PR specialist. Quite a few of the non-starters should have been starters but were injured. They should become starters this year, if healthy. I don't know what the circumstances were for the rest of them.
So just looking at last year's second-round draft class, we can expect somewhere around 80% of them, or more, to be starters by their second season. The statement that 50% of second-round draft picks won't be starters is entirely inaccurate.
Going back to our first draft when we were in Memphis...
It seems like 2nd and 3rd rounders have a high bust rate if u can even call it that mainly cause theres less invested in them so they get fewer chances to succeed
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Yeah, I get your point. Don't over think the initial percentage statement. I believe his point was there is a much higher bust rate when you compare players selected in round 2 as opposed to round 1. The conversation was about players that may slip out of the first and if those players will be successful.