I think with the amount of hype behind Luck you can't not draft him at this point. You do that or you trade the pick for every pick a team has in the draft plus some from next year's. Julio Jones set the bar for trading up to the top of the draft VERY high last year. I doubt anyone would be willing to bite for that. If you don't draft luck - regardless of who your QB is - and he turns out to be great, you're gonna have a major fanbase meltdown. Peyton has an injured neck and isn't guaranteed to fully recover, Bradford hasn't impressed and Ponder can easily be replaced with Luck and you can do a Kevin Kolb type deal in a year or two. Luck will go 1st, no doubt about it. I'd be curious to see if any team has the balls to trade up for him though.