Thoughts? Watching currently. I watch with a checklist almost in my head. "Most overrated film due for award", "Most overrated actor that's the clear favorite for some unknown reason", "The 2 people I want to win", "Weird foreign films that no one in attendance has actually seen but must pretend so in order to seem authentic", etc. Basically tonight I've only got 3 hopefuls. 1. Christian Bale for The Fighter. (won, hooray!) 2. James Franco for 127 hours. (will probably lose to average Colin Firth.. bleh) 3. Anything Inception. Amy Adams was robbed, but I expected it. Melissa Leo is good and was great in The Fighter, but I'm not so sure most of it was an act... she seems to have a good bit of that character off camera. The Social Network and The Kings Speech are the overrated movies of the year. Nothing more average, yet they'll probably dominate.