And 50% of marriages end in divorce. And every time you flip a coin you have a 50% shot of guessing wrong. Does that mean you shouldn't do it if you feel it's the right thing to do? Nothing is guaranteed. There are risks associated with most everything. Maybe. Time will tell. I think Young has unlimited upside where Leinart's will be. That doesn't mean both won't be successful though. But this either/or mentality you have is skewed. What about 1983 which put three QBs taken in the first round into the HOF? Every one taken after Elway was a bum? You want to judge the kid based on seven rookie starts for a crap team? He sucked but he had nothing around him to help take off the pressure. Any judgement of Smith right now is premature. I guess you'd cut a kid who threw twice as many INTs as TD his rookie year and had a 55.7 passer rating, right? You just cut HOF QB Troy Aikman. Okay, I'll play along with you here. You play Reese. Bush and Lienart are off the board. You now have Young and Brick and the rest. Who are you going to take at #3? Remember, you can't trade down for Culter because anyone taken after the first player in any given position is a RISK.